According to a draft document seen by Reuters, the European Commission is considering submitting only a “statement of intent” rather than a firm target for 2035, as required under the Paris Agreement framework. This would fall short of expectations that countries deliver concrete Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) ahead of the next UN climate summit in 2025.

The delay stems from ongoing negotiations over the EU's 2040 climate target, which has yet to be finalised. The European Commission has proposed a 90% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared to 1990 levels by 2040, but several member states have expressed concerns over the pace and economic impact of such a transition.

Without agreement on the 2040 objective, the EU cannot define an interim goal for 2035—something the UN has requested all major economies submit in advance of COP30, to be held in Brazil next year.

While the draft communication outlines a possible 2035 emissions cut of between 66% and 72.5%, it does not represent a formal commitment. Instead, it reflects a politically cautious approach aimed at keeping options open while discussions continue within the Council of the EU.

Environmental groups have criticised the lack of urgency, warning that failure to present an ambitious and credible target undermines the EU's global leadership on climate policy. Meanwhile, some member states argue that tougher emissions cuts must be backed by concrete support for industry and consumers, particularly in energy-intensive sectors.

The Commission is expected to publish the final communication later this month. However, without political consensus, the EU's submission to the UN may lack the clarity and commitment seen in previous climate milestones.